Profit calculator

What a day of 5-minute rounds could return

Set your stake, how many trades a day and the price you usually buy at, then move the win rate. The numbers include 5MTBot's platform fee and Polymarket's own taker fee. The win rate is yours to choose. Nobody can promise one, and this page doesn't.

Your inputs

The dollars put into one round. The bot's default first buy is $5.

A day has 288 five-minute rounds, but the bot only enters when its checks pass and skips most of them. See how often it entered →

What one share costs when you buy. A share pays $1 if your side wins and $0 if it loses, so buying at $0.50 turns a win into 2.00× the stake.

The share of trades that win. You need more than to break even at these settings.

5MTBot fee plan

Prices from the October fee update.

Polymarket fee
Expected result per day

Week
30 days
Staked / 30 days
break-even win rate at these settings, fees included
30-day expected result across win rates

01How the maths works

Every figure above comes from these three lines, so you can check it by hand.

A winning trade

You buy stake ÷ price shares and each pays $1. Profit is stake ÷ price − stake. At $5 and $0.50 that is $10 − $5 = +$5.

A losing trade

The shares settle at $0, so the whole stake is gone: −stake. There is no partial loss in a 5-minute round.

Fees and the range

Fees are taken off every trade (or every win, on that plan). The range shows where 9 of every 10 outcomes land, because the same win rate can still give a good or bad week.

This is a model. It assumes every trade enters at the same price and that wins and losses arrive independently. Real rounds vary, and averaging down (DCA) changes both the entry price and the stake. Nothing here is financial advice or a forecast of 5MTBot's results.