Round replay
Round replay: the bot’s decisions, opened up
Describing a strategy in prose only gets you so far. The round replay shows it instead: pick a past 5-minute round and step through every check the bot made inside it, in order, with the numbers it was looking at when it made them.
Nothing on the page is simulated. It is read straight out of the engine’s own log and trade records, and the rounds it lost are left in alongside the ones it won.
What one round looks like
At the top are three counts — rounds recorded, entered, skipped — and a filter to show all of them, only the ones it bought into, or only the ones it passed on. Open any round and you get its scans laid out as steps, each one stamped with how many seconds into the round it happened.
Each step holds the same four things:
- The six coins, each with how far it has moved since the round opened, and which way.
- The Up and Down share prices for the coin the bot was interested in, as they stood at that moment.
- The agreement count — how many coins were pointing the same way, and how many the account required.
- The decision: no signal, or a signal with the reasons that produced it spelled out.
Read a few of these in a row and the strategy stops being an abstraction. You can see it wait, see the group line up, and see it reach for the coin that has not caught up yet. The three checks are summarised beside the list, and the full version is in the strategy write-up.
Why it did nothing, which is most of the time
The bot skips far more rounds than it enters, and the skipped ones are frequently the more instructive. Two reasons are stated with certainty, because the log records them directly: not enough coins agreed, and all six had already moved together — if nothing is lagging, there is nothing to buy.
Past those two, the engine’s log records that a round was passed over without naming which gate closed it. Rather than guess silently, the replay re-runs the round against the Aggressive preset’s thresholds and reports what that would have rejected, with a footnote on the page saying exactly that. If your own account runs different bands, your bot’s reason may differ from the one shown. We would rather print the caveat than a confident wrong answer.
The last step: how it actually ended
For a round the bot entered, the final step reads the settlement from Polymarket and caches it, so you see what the
market did, not what we hoped it would do. The return is worked out as 1 ÷ average entry price − 1
on a win, or a flat −100% on a loss, before fees. A round that settles at $1.00 from an average entry of
$0.55 returns about +82%; a loss takes the whole stake, every time.
Rounds that have not settled yet are picked up on later visits, so the page fills itself in over time.
The boundaries we drew, and why
- No accounts, ever. The replay is round-level only. There are no wallet addresses, no balances and no dollar sizes on the page — the money side of a round is nobody else’s business.
- Losing rounds stay. A replay that showed only the wins would be marketing, not a record.
- Signals with no fill are excluded. If the bot decided to buy and the order did not fill, the round is not listed. Counting those as entries would overstate how often it traded.
- Each site shows only its own engine’s rounds. Nothing is borrowed from anywhere else. If 5MTBot’s engine has not scanned yet, the page says so and stays empty rather than showing you somebody else’s history.
Pair it with the profit calculator: the replay tells you how often the bot actually entered and at what sort of price, which are precisely the two inputs people otherwise have to guess.
5MTBot is independent software for Polymarket and is not affiliated with it. Past rounds are a record of what happened, not an indication of what will happen next. Nothing here is financial advice.
Read a few rounds, then decide what your own settings should be.